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Built for research, not hype

Beyond the box score.

Models tell you what could happen. SuredaAnalytics shows you the matchup, context and market behind the projection.

NBA  ·  NFL  ·  MLB  ·  NCAAF  ·  TENNIS
Nolan McLean vs Martin Perez starting pitcher matchup — full model card with ERA, WHIP, xERA and projected strikeouts
Model Projection 4.7 K McLean · High Confidence
Matchup Edge xERA 3.26 vs 4.22
Regression Signal ERA 3.14 vs xERA 4.22 Perez · Getting Lucky
The Engine

From market signal
to model edge.

Every projection on SuredaAnalytics moves through the same pipeline — market context in, a graded edge out.

Sureda Engine
Market → Model → Matchup → Output
01 / INPUT
Market
55.6%
Implied probability
Line move +1.5
02 / SCORE
Model
61.7%
Model projection
Grade A-
03 / CONTEXT
Matchup
+4.2
Pace differential
Opp rank #24
04 / RESULT
Output
+6.1%
Model edge
Lean Model
Illustrative example — every matchup runs through this pipeline; values update nightly.
MLB · STRIKEOUT PROPS

The stat line is the last page,
not the book.

Paul Skenes strikeout props, situational filters, and lineup K% — the layers underneath a single line number.

Paul Skenes strikeout prop model vs Miami
K% · Savant 30.3%
CSW% 20.2%
Strikeout Line 5.5 K L5 Over Rate 100%
Explore MLB Pitcher Props
NBA · PLAYER PROPS

The story behind the data.

Victor Wembanyama · Points · Last 10 games vs a live prop line of 25.5 — real hit-rate data, not a mockup.

Victor Wembanyama player props dashboard — full game-by-game performance breakdown
L10 Hit Rate 6 / 10 — 60% Avg 25.9
Prop Line 25.5 PTS Model Lean: Over
Spurs vs Knicks core ratings and shot zone comparison
Explore NBA Props
TENNIS · MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Every court is
a different sport.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz — full match intelligence card with model pick, calibrated Elo and win probability
73%
MODEL PICK — Jannik Sinner
SINNER 73%ALCARAZ 27%
Elo Adjusted+3.3 PTS
Seeding#1 vs #2
Model Agreement65%–73% (3 signals)
Raw Elo (Pre-Cal.)69% / 31%

Red-hot form

Jannik Sinner is 9-1 in their last 10 matches while Carlos Alcaraz is 7-3 (70%).

Advantage · Sinner

Break-point master in this matchup

In their 18 prior meetings, Jannik Sinner converts 47% of break-point chances vs 35% for Carlos Alcaraz.

Advantage · Sinner
View Tennis Tool
NFL · MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE

Season averages hide the matchup.
We don't.

QB tendency graded against real defensive allowances, by depth of throw — not just a season average.

Josh Allen vs Patrick Mahomes matchup intelligence cards
VS
EPA / Play · Allen 0.121 #10 of 32
Passing Depth Matchup Deep · Difficult Mahomes vs BUF
QB VS Pass Defense
Run Game VS Run Defense
Pass Game VS Secondary
Defense VS Offense
NFL NFL Player Stats NCAAF
Join The Community

Your research shouldn't start five minutes before game time.

Join our Discord and get ahead of the game — live model updates, matchup breakdowns and market movement, shared with the community every night of the season.

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